Liam’s Hit O’ Miss List: The 90th Oscars
After six weeks of anxiously waiting, inferring and predicting, the 90th Academy Awards have finally arrived. On March 4, over 6,600 Hollywood voters will speak their minds on which millionaire they believe most deserves a 10-inch golden statue.
This year, the much beloved Oscars ceremony will be hosted yet again by late-night comedian Jimmy Kimmel (expect jokes about last year’s “La La Land”-stunt and a couple hits at Harvey Weinstein), and while many of the contenders seem set in stone (like Best Actor & Actress), some other categories are wide open for speculation.
Which begs the question: who will walk away with the Oscar gold this Sunday? Below, I intend to answer that question and predict each category correctly – including some of the smaller and much less prominent awards.
**Side-note: A pick is according to and established upon what I want to win or believe should win. A prediction, on the other hand, is how I think the Academy will vote. I don’t always personally agree with my predictions!
BEST PICTURE
Get Out
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
The Post
Phantom Thread
Pick: Get Out
Prediction: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Given how successful it’s been through the awards season (and how relevant the subject matter is in Hollywood), “Three Billboards” is the easy answer to those who are seeking the answer to the Best Picture question. However, with Guillermo del Toro predicted to win Best Director, many people seem to think “The Shape of Water” has it in the bag, but many thought the same about “La La Land” last year, until “Moonlight” prevailed and walked away the winner. Could the same thing happen here with “Get Out?” Don’t anticipate anything, but anything could happen, and I wouldn’t be too upset to see Jordan Peele walk away with Best Picture for his directing and ambiance created.
DIRECTING
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Pick: Jordan Peele, Get Out
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Prediction: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Christopher Nolan will be dancing in his seat Sunday night thinking, “OH YES! I FINALLY DID IT! I CONVINCED THE ACADEMY I AM WORTH IT.” While he basks in the good news of his first Oscar nomination, expect Guillermo del Toro–that one director of that weird fish movie–to be on edge. According to die-hard fans and critics, del Toro seems to “infuse all that same care and precision with a lot of big, gooey feeling” — something that did not come across in my viewing of the flick. I would actually rather see underdogs Jordan Peele or Greta Gerwig walk away with the award this time for their phenomenal ability to connect deeply with their audience through their work. (Especially Greta’s – who’s coming-of-age film centers around a highschool senior girl dealing with the conflicting aspects of love, college and family.)
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post
Pick: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Prediction: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Back when the nominations first came out, it was Sally Hawkins many news outlets were highlighting to possibly win Best Actress. That was until mid-January, when Frances McDormand’s name began popping up anywhere you looked, and for good reason. McDormand’s portrayal (almost symbolic of today’s #MeToo culture) in “Three Billboards” is fierce when it needs to be fierce and sad when it needs to be sad – she makes her audience feel, so much so, the whole movie almost feels real, it’s so alive. I’m calling it now that the nameplate is resting backstage with FRANCES on it, this exact moment.
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Pick: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Prediction: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Gary Oldman, need I say much more. His role as the one and only Winston Churchill was brought to back to life by Oldman’s vigorous and endeavouring acting ethic. Not to mention, the Oscars always love to see a revered acting veteran pull the nine-yards, undergo a major transformation, carry that same attitude of that historical figure and all the while never lose their own unique charm. Which almost defines Oldman’s performance in “The Darkest Hour” in every single manner. There seems to be no sign of slowing him down (especially for the amount of precursor awards this season).
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Pick: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Prediction: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
There was a time when people actually said that Laurie Metcalf and Octavia Spencer were the two leading contenders for this category with their thrilling and heart wrenching performances in “Lady Bird” and “The Shape of Water,” respectively. That is, until Allison Janney’s name began popping up at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, BAFTA and most importantly the SAG awards — the awards show that goes on to predict Best Actors and Actresses 75% of the time. It would be difficult to see Janney lose such an unbreakable streak at tonight’s Oscars – though, I must say, it would be great to see Laurie Metcalf win for her stellar role as loving mother to an unwilling daughter.
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Pick: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Prediction: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
After I saw “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” two thoughts immediately ran through my head. First, how is this not based a true story? It seems so real. Secondly, how did they get such great actors and actresses? I mean, look at these contenders: three nominations for Oscar acting awards, and predicted to win two of them. Rockwell’s performance is not any different, his character (who goes through an unbelievable character arc) seems to be perfect for today’s changing climate. It’s almost certain that Sam Rockwell will be voted for — with the amount of awards he’s won this past season, it will be Rockwell’s trophy to lose.
WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Pick: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Get Out
Prediction: Get Out
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist
Scott Frank and James Mangold and Michael Green, Logan
Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game
Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound
Pick: Logan
Prediction: Call Me By Your Name
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
A Fantastic Woman
The Insult
Loveless
On Body and Soul
The Square
Pick: A Fantastic Woman
Prediction: A Fantastic Woman
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent
Pick: Coco
Prediction: Coco
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Faces Places
Icarus
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island
Pick: Faces Places
Prediction: Faces Places
BEST SHORT-SUBJECT DOCUMENTARY
Edith + Eddie
Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)
Knife Skills
Traffic Stop
Pick: Heroin(e)
Prediction: Heroin(e)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Mighty River,” Mudbound
“Mystery of Love,” Call Me by Your Name
“Remember Me,” Coco
“Stand Up for Something,” Marshall
“This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman
Pick: “Remember Me,” Coco
Prediction: “Remember Me,” Coco
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water
Pick: Blade Runner 2049
Prediction: Blade Runner 2049
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN PRODUCTION DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Pick: Blade Runner 2049
Prediction: The Shape of Water
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Victoria & Abdul
Pick: Phantom Thread
Prediction: Phantom Thread
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Pick: Baby Driver
Prediction: Dunkirk
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Darkest Hour
Victoria & Abdul
Wonder
Pick: Darkest Hour
Prediction: Darkest Hour
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Pick: Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Prediction: The Shape of Water
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Dear Basketball
Garden Party
Lou
Negative Space
Revolting Rhymes
Pick: Lou
Prediction: Dear Basketball
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
DeKalb Elementary
The Eleven O’Clock
My Nephew Emmett
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us
Pick: DeKalb Elementary
Prediction: DeKalb Elementary
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND EDITING
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Pick: Baby Driver
Prediction: Dunkirk
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND MIXING
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Pick: Baby Driver
Prediction: Baby Driver
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
Blade Runner 2049
Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Pick: Blade Runner 2049
Prediction: War for the Planet of the Apes
Liam Stenson is a senior at Naperville North High School and is excited to start a new part of his life as a Staff Writer with The North Star. When he...